Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox handed the Cincinnati Reds a 5-0 shutout at Rate Field on August 12, 2026, holding Cincinnati to just two hits while collecting eleven of their own. The DiamondIQ model opened the game favoring the White Sox at 58% and closed at 100% as Chicago's pitching and timely power proved insurmountable.

The game's decisive blow came in the bottom of the sixth, when Chase Meidroth connected on a home run off Julian Garcia that swung win probability by 18.4 percentage points, the single largest play of the game. Drew Romo had set the tone earlier, launching a solo shot off Rhett Lowder in the third inning for a 10.9-point swing. Chicago added two more runs in the eighth to close out the scoring at five. On the Cincinnati side, the model's estimate shifted against the Reds most sharply in the sixth, where Sal Stewart's strikeout against Luis Castillo cost the visitors 7.8 percentage points, and Matt McLain's walk in the same frame represented the Reds' best offensive moment of the night, adding 5.5 points to their win probability before the inning ended without damage.

Luis Castillo was the game's dominant individual performer, contributing a WPA of plus-30.6 percentage points from the mound to pace all players. Rhett Lowder added plus-12.4 WPA in his own outing before Garcia entered and surrendered the Meidroth home run. Among position players, Meidroth finished with a WPA of plus-14.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.0, while Romo posted plus-8.6 WPA and led all batters with an RE24 of plus-1.1. Dane Myers rounded out the top performers at plus-5.1 WPA.