Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The San Diego Padres walked off the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 in eleven innings on August 12, 2026, at Petco Park, rallying from a deficit in extra innings after the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate gave the home side just a 46 percent chance of winning before first pitch.

The game's decisive sequence came in the eleventh inning and produced the sharpest probability swings of the night. Milwaukee briefly seized control when Gary Sánchez laced a double off Adrian Morejon, a hit the DiamondIQ model credited with a +31.3 percent swing in the Brewers' favor, and Garrett Mitchell followed with a walk worth another +19.4 percent, pushing San Diego to the edge. The Padres answered in the bottom half against Antonio Senzatela. Manny Machado grounded out in a manner that advanced the automatic runner and shifted the model +23.7 percent toward San Diego, setting the stage for Luis Campusano, whose walk-off single registered the night's single largest swing at +42.9 percent and closed the DiamondIQ model's estimate at 100 percent for the home side. Jake Cronenworth had earlier kept San Diego alive in the eighth with a single off Aaron Ashby that moved the needle +20.3 percent, erasing what had been a multi-inning stretch of scoreless baseball.

Among individual performers, Campusano finished as the game's top batter by WPA at +34.4 percent with a +0.7 RE24, while Cronenworth posted +32.6 percent and +0.6 RE24 in a supporting role. Sánchez led Milwaukee's contributors at +26.6 percent and topped all batters with a +1.2 RE24 despite the Brewers ultimately coming up short. On the mound, Dustin May led all pitchers at +22.5 percent WPA, with Mason Miller and Bradgley Rodriguez each contributing positively as San Diego's bullpen held the line long enough for the offense to deliver in the eleventh.