New York Mets at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| ATL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Mets defeated the Atlanta Braves 8-5 at Truist Park on August 10, 2026, overcoming a DiamondIQ model pre-game home win probability of 69% to hand the Braves a loss in front of their home crowd. New York struck decisively in the first inning, plating five runs to immediately shift the competitive landscape, and the Braves never fully recovered despite chipping away with two runs in the bottom half of the frame. The Mets added single runs in the second and third innings to extend their cushion to 7-2, and while Atlanta answered with two in the fourth and one in the fifth, New York's early damage proved insurmountable.
The game's most consequential moments came in waves of missed opportunity for Atlanta. Ronald Acuña Jr.'s flyout in the bottom of the second registered as the single biggest win-probability swing of the night at minus-15.4%, a damaging outcome off Christian Scott that stalled what could have been a meaningful Braves rally. Austin Riley's strikeout against Scott in the first inning carried a minus-12.1% win-probability impact, and Mauricio Dubón's ground into a double play in the fifth off Jonathan Pintaro subtracted another 13.4%, effectively closing the door on Atlanta's best late chance to claw back into the game. On the Mets' side, A.J. Ewing's flyout in the top of the first added 13.7% to New York's win probability, a significant contextual moment within that decisive five-run frame, while Jorge Polanco's groundout in the second contributed an additional 11.0%.
On the mound, Daniel Duarte led all pitchers with a plus-32.3% WPA, followed by Christian Scott at plus-20.1% and Brent Suter at plus-12.0%, a collective effort that held Atlanta scoreless over the middle portion of the game from the sixth through the eighth innings. At the plate, Michael Harris II posted the top batting WPA at plus-12.2% with a plus-0.1 RE24, making him the standout offensive contributor on the night. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Atlanta's win probability fell from 69% before first pitch to 0% by the final out, reflecting just how thoroughly New York controlled the contest after its explosive opening inning.