Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers walked off the Minnesota Twins 4-3 in ten innings on August 9, 2026, at American Family Field, with Jake Bauers delivering the decisive blow in the bottom of the tenth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Milwaukee at 67% and closed at 100% following Bauers' walk-off single off Yoendrys Gómez, a swing that added 35.9 percentage points of win probability in a single moment. The Brewers had spotted their opponent a two-run swing in the sixth when Kody Clemens launched a home run off Jacob Misiorowski, a hit that added 23.6 percentage points of win probability for Minnesota and temporarily shifted the game's complexion. Milwaukee had taken its first lead in the fifth on a Bauers home run off Connor Prielipp, worth 12.4 points of win probability, only to see the Twins claw back before the game was ultimately settled in extras.

Bauers was the unambiguous offensive engine for Milwaukee, finishing with a combined WPA of plus 43.4 and an RE24 of plus 2.1, accounting for both the go-ahead run in the fifth and the game-ending single in the tenth. Clemens led the Minnesota offensive contribution with a WPA of plus 30.9 and an RE24 of plus 1.9, though his sixth-inning home run ultimately was not enough to secure a Twins victory. Brooks Lee also contributed meaningfully for the Brewers with a WPA of plus 24.3 and an RE24 of plus 1.2. On the pitching side, the Milwaukee bullpen preserved the win, with Trevor Megill, A.J. Minter, and Tommy Nance posting WPA figures of plus 13.5, plus 12.7, and plus 11.8, respectively. Minnesota's best scoring opportunity evaporated in the eighth when Austin Martin grounded into a forceout off Abner Uribe, a play that cost the Twins 15.2 points of win probability and effectively kept the door open for Bauers to close it in the tenth.