Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Colorado Rockies 7-4 on August 9, 2026, at Busch Stadium, moving from a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of 65 percent in favor of the home side to a certainty of victory by the final out. The Cardinals held a slim 4-1 lead through five innings before the game's most consequential stretch unfolded in the sixth and eighth innings, where the outcome was effectively decided by a handful of plays that swung win probability dramatically in both directions.

Colorado briefly threatened to make things interesting. Brett Sullivan's home run off Michael McGreevy in the top of the sixth added 17.8 percentage points to the Rockies' win probability and cut into the deficit, and Hunter Goodman followed with a solo shot off George Soriano in the top of the eighth, a swing worth 18.6 points. But St. Louis answered immediately and decisively in the bottom of the eighth. JJ Wetherholt delivered the game's single most impactful hit, a double off Parker Mushinski that added 29.4 percentage points to the Cardinals' win probability and capped a three-run inning that put the game out of reach. Iván Herrera also contributed meaningfully in that frame. On the pitching side, Tanner Gordon was the Cardinals' most valuable arm, generating 11.8 points of win probability added, including inducing a Bryan Torres strikeout in the eighth that cost Colorado 12.4 points.

By WPA, Wetherholt led all position players at plus-29.0 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.2, while Sullivan paced the Rockies at plus-23.0 percent and plus-1.9 RE24 despite being on the losing side. Herrera rounded out the Cardinals' top contributors at plus-14.9 percent and plus-2.0 RE24. Colorado finished with 10 hits but committed two errors, while St. Louis went clean defensively and collected 14 hits in a thorough home victory.