MLB Recap · August 6, 2026

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

DET11
Final
SEA0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET31000040311160
SEA000000000071

The Story

The Detroit Tigers rolled to an 11-0 victory over the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on August 6, 2026, a dominant performance that erased the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 54 percent home win probability down to zero by the final out. Detroit struck early and never relented, plating three runs in the first inning and one more in the second before adding four in the seventh and three in the ninth to finish with 11 runs on 16 hits and no errors. Seattle managed just seven hits and committed one error, never threatening in a game that was effectively decided in the opening frames.

The decisive early swings came by way of Seattle's inability to capitalize combined with Detroit's steady execution on the bases. The biggest single play by win-probability impact was a strikeout by Mariners catcher Jhonny Pereda in the bottom of the second against Framber Valdez, which shifted the win-probability needle by 10.3 percent against Seattle. Julio Rodríguez's lineout to close the bottom of the first off Valdez carried an 8.2 percent negative swing for the home side as well, leaving runners stranded and allowing Detroit's lead to breathe. On the other side, Riley Greene's groundout in the top of the second off Bryce Miller added 8.2 percent to Detroit's win probability in context, while Javier Báez's groundout in the first contributed 6.6 percent, reflecting how the Tigers manufactured pressure even in outs.

Framber Valdez was the story of the night, posting a staggering plus-37.9 percent WPA to lead all pitchers and neutralize every Mariners threat he faced. Among position players, Greene led Detroit's batters with a plus-7.8 percent WPA, followed by Báez at plus-5.4 percent and Kevin McGonigle at plus-5.1 percent and plus-2.3 RE24, the latter figure indicating he put runs on the board above expectation in his plate appearances. The model leans toward crediting Valdez's performance as the single largest driver of the outcome, with Seattle's lineup generating no sustained pressure against him across nine shutout innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalSEA win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jhonny Pereda — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Framber Valdez
-10.3%
Riley Greene — Groundout
Top 2nd · off Bryce Miller
+8.2%
Julio Rodríguez — Lineout
Bot 1st · off Framber Valdez
-8.2%
Javier Báez — Groundout
Top 1st · off Bryce Miller
+6.6%
Weston Wilson — Grounded Into DP
Bot 2nd · off Framber Valdez
-4.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Riley Greene+7.8%-0.1 RE24
Javier Báez+5.4%+0.7 RE24
Kevin McGonigle+5.1%+2.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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