Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Detroit Tigers 4-2 on August 5, 2026, at T-Mobile Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability to a final certainty of 100 percent by game's end. The contest was scoreless through five innings before Seattle broke it open decisively in the bottom of the sixth, when Julio Rodríguez launched a home run off Brenan Hanifee that swung win probability 32.5 percentage points in the Mariners' favor, the single most impactful play of the game. Detroit answered in the top of the eighth with a Dillon Dingler home run off Eduard Bazardo that shifted win probability 18.0 points toward the Tigers, briefly narrowing the deficit, but Seattle quickly responded as Colt Emerson hit a solo home run off Enmanuel De Jesus in the bottom half of the inning for a 12.0-point swing that effectively closed the door on any Detroit comeback.

On the offensive side, Rodríguez was the clear standout, finishing with a game-high WPA of plus-38.4 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.9, anchoring the Mariners' production. Dingler was the most productive Tiger, posting a WPA of plus-14.8 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.4 despite his team's loss, while Emerson contributed a WPA of plus-4.3 percent and an RE24 of plus-0.3 to reinforce Seattle's cushion. Detroit's most damaging negative swing came in the top of the fourth, when Dingler's single off Bryan Woo cost the Tigers 6.9 percent in win probability, suggesting Seattle's pitching consistently stranded Detroit threats. Bryan Woo led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-32.1 percent, supported by Drew Anderson at plus-15.2 percent and Tyler Holton at plus-14.4 percent, a collective pitching performance that held Detroit to four hits across nine innings without an error on either side.