Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays shut out the Colorado Rockies 4-0 at Coors Field on August 5, 2026, completing the win with five hits and no errors while holding Colorado to six hits across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the home Rockies a 34% chance of winning, a figure that eroded steadily before closing at 0% as Tampa Bay's pitching staff kept Colorado off the board throughout.
The decisive stretch came in the third inning, when Junior Caminero lifted a home run off Tomoyuki Sugano, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-8.5 points in Tampa Bay's favor and proved to be the game's most consequential offensive moment. Colorado's best chance to respond came in the fourth, but Jordan Beck grounded into a double play off Nick Martinez, a sequence that swung win probability by minus-9.6 points against the Rockies and effectively extinguished the rally before it began. A sixth-inning single by Jake McCarthy off Martinez added a brief plus-5.2 point uptick for Colorado, but Cole Carrigg's strikeout to end the threat, worth minus-4.7 points, kept the shutout intact.
Martinez was the dominant force of the evening among pitchers, finishing with a plus-24.2 win-probability contribution, while Tyler Wells added plus-7.7 and Parker Mushinski contributed plus-4.3 in support. Caminero led all batters with a plus-7.9 WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, with Victor Mesa Jr. and Kyle Karros each posting plus-1.9 WPA to round out Tampa Bay's most impactful performers. The DiamondIQ model's pre-game lean toward Colorado found no statistical support on the night.