Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| PHI | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Washington Nationals erased a two-run deficit and stunned Philadelphia 10-4 in eleven innings at Citizens Bank Park on August 5, 2026, completing a dramatic comeback that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Nationals victory climb from a pre-game low of 41 percent all the way to certainty by the final out. Philadelphia had taken a 2-1 lead after the second inning and largely controlled the middle frames, with Bryson Stott's seventh-inning single off Yovanny Cruz carrying a win-probability swing of plus 17.1 percent for the Phillies. Washington answered immediately, however, as Brady House launched a home run off Brooks Raley in the top of the seventh — a swing worth plus 15.8 percent — to knot the game and force extra innings.
The tenth inning proved to be the turning point in the model's probability estimates before the eleventh delivered the knockout blow. Nasim Nuñez drew a walk off José Alvarado in the top half, a patient plate appearance that shifted win probability by plus 29.4 percent in Washington's favor, and Kyle Schwarber's strikeout against Clayton Beeter in the bottom half — worth plus 23.7 percent — preserved the Nationals' advantage heading to the eleventh. There, CJ Abrams delivered the defining moment of the night, lacing a triple off Caleb Kilian that swung win probability by plus 50.4 percent and ignited a six-run frame that put the game entirely out of reach.
Abrams finished as the game's most impactful offensive player with a cumulative WPA of plus 60.0 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.7, while Schwarber's bat-silencing night gave him a plus 27.2 percent WPA from the pitching staff's perspective. Brady House contributed plus 25.8 percent WPA despite finishing with a negative RE24 of minus 0.3. On the mound, Tom Cosgrove led Washington's relief corps with a plus 19.1 percent WPA, followed by Jhoan Duran at plus 13.5 percent and Jonathan Bowlan at plus 10.6 percent, as the Nationals' bullpen shut Philadelphia out across the final innings to secure the ten-run final.