New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets overcame a late deficit and a hostile Progressive Field crowd to defeat the Cleveland Guardians 6-5 in ten innings on August 5, 2026, snapping what the DiamondIQ model had projected as a 61 percent pre-game home win probability for Cleveland down to zero. The Mets built a 3-0 edge through four innings, but Cleveland rallied with two runs in the fifth and two more in the seventh, the latter damage inflicted when Angel Genao singled off Dedniel Núñez to swing win probability 20.9 points in the Guardians' favor and give Cleveland a 5-4 lead. The Mets refused to fold, and with the game on the line in the ninth, a fielding error charged to the Cleveland defense off Cade Smith allowed A.J. Ewing to reach base and swung win probability 29.1 points toward New York, forcing extras tied at five.

The tenth inning proved decisive in both directions. Bo Bichette delivered a go-ahead single off Matt Festa that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate 27.7 points toward the Mets, while a Jared Young strikeout in that same frame moved the needle an additional 23.1 points by retiring a threat and preserving the slim lead. Daniel Duarte then closed it out by inducing Nathaniel Lowe into a groundout to end the Guardians' final threat, a play that swung 27.0 points in New York's favor as the tying run was stranded. Lowe finished as the game's most impactful performer by WPA at plus-55.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.0, while Jared Young posted plus-42.3 percent WPA and Ewing added plus-38.6 percent. On the pitching side, Hunter Gaddis paced the Mets staff with a plus-10.8 percent WPA contribution, with Jefry Yan and Craig Yoho also posting positive figures as the Mets' bullpen held together through the final frames. New York closed the game having committed two errors against Cleveland's three, with the Guardians' defensive miscues ultimately proving the costlier burden.