Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles defeated the Los Angeles Angels 3-1 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on August 4, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving Baltimore a 64% chance to win, a figure that climbed to 100% by the final out. The Orioles struck first in the bottom of the third when Pete Alonso singled off Grayson Rodriguez, a hit that shifted win probability by plus 11.4 points and gave Baltimore an early foothold. That two-run third proved to be the foundation of the game, as the Angels managed just one run on 11 hits across nine innings, leaving considerable production on the table. Moisés Ballesteros's strikeout against Cade Povich in the top of the fourth was among the more damaging individual moments for Los Angeles, costing the Angels 8.7 percentage points of win probability at a stage when the game remained within reach.

The Angels showed brief signs of life in the eighth inning, when Vaughn Grissom doubled off Andrew Kittredge for a plus 7.0-point swing, and Baltimore answered immediately when Tyler O'Neill hit a home run off Mitch Farris in the bottom half, a plus 13.6-point swing that effectively closed the door. Josh Lowe added a double in the top of the ninth off Yennier Cano, a plus 8.9-point move that made the final margin look closer than the game felt. Among batters, O'Neill led all players at plus 13.6 WPA with a 1.0 RE24, while Lowe finished at plus 13.1 WPA despite playing for the losing side. Cade Povich was the clear standout on the mound, finishing with a plus 20.7 WPA, the highest of any pitcher on either side, with Grayson Rodriguez contributing plus 8.6 and Rico Garcia adding plus 7.2 in support of the Baltimore pitching effort.