Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Los Angeles Angels a 6-2 defeat at Angel Stadium on July 31, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win probability opening at 30 percent before dropping to 0 percent by game's end. The game was effectively decided by a five-run fifth inning that erased a scoreless deadlock and put the contest firmly out of reach. That frame produced the two most consequential plays of the night: a Brice Turang home run off Ryan Johnson that shifted win probability by plus 16.6 percent, followed by a Jake Bauers home run off the newly entered José Fermin worth an additional plus 12.4 percent. Los Angeles answered with a Denzer Guzman home run off Shane Drohan in the bottom of the fifth, a swing worth plus 6.6 percent from the Angels' perspective, but the two-run response was not nearly enough to threaten Milwaukee's cushion.

The Brewers' offensive standouts were led by Turang, who finished with a plus 12.0 percent WPA and a plus 2.1 RE24, and Bauers, whose plus 10.5 percent WPA and plus 2.5 RE24 made him the most impactful bat in the lineup by run-expectancy measure. Cooper Pratt contributed a plus 7.0 percent WPA and plus 1.2 RE24 to round out Milwaukee's top performers at the plate. On the mound, Shane Drohan paced the pitching staff with a plus 8.8 percent WPA despite surrendering the Guzman home run, with Grant Anderson adding plus 3.2 percent and Abner Uribe contributing plus 1.6 percent in support. The Angels finished with four hits and an error against Milwaukee's nine-hit, error-free performance, and the DiamondIQ model leaned heavily toward the Brewers throughout the decisive middle innings.