Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers routed the Baltimore Orioles 14-0 on July 28, 2026, at Comerica Park in a game that was never close. The DiamondIQ model opened with Detroit holding a 53 percent pre-game win probability, but that figure climbed to 100 percent by the final out as Baltimore managed just three hits and committed an error while Detroit pounded out 19 hits across a dominant wire-to-wire performance.

The game turned decisively in the bottom of the second inning, where Detroit constructed the most consequential sequence of the afternoon against Orioles starter Dean Kremer. A Dillon Dingler strikeout — recorded under circumstances that shifted Detroit's win probability by plus 9.2 percent — anchored the frame, while Eduardo Valencia followed with a home run worth plus 6.0 percent in win probability and Gleyber Torres added a double that moved the needle another plus 5.2 percent. The damage had begun even earlier, when Colt Keith laced a triple in the bottom of the first off Kremer for a plus 4.4 percent swing. On the Baltimore side, Colton Cowser's groundout against Troy Melton in the top of the second represented the Orioles' most consequential missed opportunity, costing them 6.3 percent in win probability.

Valencia led all position players with a WPA of plus 8.5 and an RE24 of plus 3.5, while Dingler posted a plus 8.2 WPA and Torres contributed plus 6.2 WPA alongside a plus 2.9 RE24. On the mound, Troy Melton was the standout performer, finishing with a plus 12.3 percent WPA as he kept Baltimore's lineup in check throughout his outing. The model leans heavily on run-prevention and lineup depth when projecting outcomes of this magnitude, and Detroit's execution on both sides of the ball validated that framework completely.