Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves edged the Baltimore Orioles 3-2 in eleven innings on July 26, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, completing a comeback that required extra frames to settle. Atlanta scored once in the second and again in the fourth before Baltimore clawed back with Pete Alonso's home run off Dylan Lee in the eighth, a swing that shifted win probability by 18.2 percentage points in the Orioles' favor. Baltimore then pushed the game to extras when Leody Taveras reached on a fielder's choice off Raisel Iglesias in the ninth, a play that added 26.5 percentage points to Atlanta's win probability and kept the Braves alive heading into the tenth.
The tenth inning proved to be the fulcrum of the contest. Danny Young navigated a volatile sequence in which Dylan Beavers drew a walk that swung win probability 29.5 percentage points toward Baltimore, only for Gunnar Henderson to ground into a double play that erased that advantage entirely, costing the Orioles 30.0 percentage points of win probability. In the top of the eleventh, Austin Riley delivered the decisive blow, a double off Andrew Kittredge that shifted the win probability 31.3 percentage points and plated what proved to be the winning run. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with a 43 percent home win probability for Baltimore and closed it at zero.
Among the game's standout contributors, Jackson Holliday led all position players with a WPA of plus 27.7 and a RE24 of plus 0.6, while Riley finished at plus 26.6 WPA. On the mound, Reynaldo López was the most impactful arm of the evening at plus 26.1 WPA, ahead of Dylan Dodd at plus 12.3 and Josh Walker at plus 8.8. Atlanta finished with eight hits and one error against Baltimore's six hits and one error across eleven innings.