San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres defeated the Miami Marlins 4-2 at loanDepot park on July 24, 2026, overcoming a game in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Miami holding a 55 percent pre-game win probability. The Padres chipped away methodically, scoring single runs in the fourth and fifth innings before breaking the game open decisively in the eighth, ultimately holding the Marlins scoreless over the final four frames.
The swing that settled matters came in the top of the eighth, when Luis Rengifo connected on a home run off Tyler Zuber, a play that shifted win probability by plus 28.8 percent and represented the single largest momentum moment of the contest. Ty France followed with a double off Zuber as well, adding another plus 11.2 percent swing and extending what had been a one-run lead into a cushion the bullpen would not relinquish. Miami's best counter came in the bottom of the fifth, when Heriberto Hernández launched a home run off Wandy Peralta to pull the Marlins within a run, a swing worth plus 13.4 percent at the time, but the Padres responded promptly with their own run in the same inning to neutralize the threat.
Among individual performers, Rengifo led all batters with a plus 28.8 percent WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, while Heriberto Hernández finished at plus 15.9 percent WPA despite being on the losing side, his solo shot keeping Miami momentarily competitive. On the mound, Adrian Morejon was the standout, posting a plus 22.7 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, with Kyle Hart and Lake Bachar also contributing positively in support of the Padres' effort to close out the road victory.