Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 6-4 at Fenway Park on July 24, 2026, in a game that entered its final stages looking like it might belong to Toronto before Boston reasserted control. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 61 percent home win probability for the Red Sox, and while that figure was tested across the middle innings, it finished at 100 percent as Boston closed out the victory.

The decisive sequence began in the top of the seventh, when Kazuma Okamoto connected on a home run off Greg Weissert, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-23.7 percent in Toronto's favor and briefly made the game competitive. The Blue Jays continued to press in the top of the eighth, with Nathan Lukes doubling off Garrett Whitlock for a plus-11.8 percent swing, followed by a Daulton Varsho single off the same pitcher adding another plus-11.4 percent, as Toronto pushed across a run to narrow the deficit to two. Boston answered in the bottom of the eighth, however, when Romy Gonzalez doubled off CJ Van Eyk for the game's second-largest single play at plus-20.8 percent, extending the lead and effectively ending any Toronto comeback attempt. Earlier in the contest, Ceddanne Rafaela had homered off Trey Yesavage in the bottom of the third for a plus-14.1 percent swing that helped Boston build its cushion.

Among individual performers, Okamoto led all batters with a plus-24.9 percent WPA and plus-2.6 RE24 despite being on the losing side, while Anthony Seigler contributed plus-20.6 percent WPA and plus-2.4 RE24 for Toronto. Gonzalez paced Boston's offense with his plus-20.8 percent WPA. On the mound, Tyron Guerrero led all pitchers at plus-11.0 percent WPA, followed closely by Patrick Sandoval at plus-10.8 percent, with Aroldis Chapman adding plus-6.3 percent as Boston's relief corps preserved the two-run final margin.