Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees blanked the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-0 on July 21, 2026 at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 58 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Pittsburgh managed just three hits across nine innings and never threatened seriously enough to shift the game's trajectory, finishing with the same zero on the scoreboard that hung there through the first six frames.

The entire game turned on a single half-inning. With the score still knotted at zero heading into the bottom of the seventh, Jasson Domínguez delivered the decisive blow against Pirates reliever Brandon Eisert, a double that added 18.8 percent to New York's win probability in one swing. Anthony Volpe followed with a single off Eisert that pushed the Yankees' chances up another 11.7 percent, plating what proved to be the margin of victory. Pittsburgh had its best chance to respond in the top of the seventh, but Ryan O'Hearn and Marcell Ozuna both struck out against Paul Blackburn, costing the Pirates 9.9 and 8.3 percent win probability respectively and effectively closing the door. Nick Gonzales singled off Will Warren in the ninth for a modest 6.6 percent swing, but it amounted to nothing.

On the pitching side, Bubba Chandler was the game's single most valuable performer by WPA, finishing with a plus-36.9 percent contribution, while Paul Blackburn added 22.1 percent and Max Fried contributed 18.0 percent in what was a collectively dominant effort by the Yankees staff. Offensively, Domínguez led all batters at plus-13.7 percent WPA and plus-0.6 RE24, with Volpe and Esmerlyn Valdez each contributing plus-6.0 percent WPA to support what was ultimately a low-run but efficiently executed New York victory.