Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| PHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 9-5 at Citizens Bank Park on July 22, 2026, handing Philadelphia a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected in real time, with the Phillies' win probability sliding from a pre-game 45% all the way to zero. The Dodgers built their margin across multiple innings, scoring in the third, fifth, sixth, and eighth, while Philadelphia's offense could not keep pace despite a scattered response.
The two most decisive sequences both came against Aaron Nola. In the top of the fifth, Dalton Rushing delivered a double that swung win probability 21.0 percentage points in Los Angeles's favor, the single largest play of the game. That swing was partially offset when Andy Pages grounded into a double play later in the same inning, costing the Dodgers 9.6 points of win probability, but the frame still tilted decisively toward Los Angeles. Nola was victimized again in the sixth, when Max Muncy connected on a home run worth 17.5 percentage points of win probability. Philadelphia's most consequential moment came in the bottom of the fifth, when Bryan De La Cruz hit a home run off Eric Lauer that added 13.1 points of win probability for the Phillies, briefly narrowing the gap, though it proved insufficient. Rushing had also homered in the third inning off Nola for a 9.5-point swing, setting the tone for what became a dominant Dodgers performance.
Rushing was the clear standout performer, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-28.1 and an RE24 of plus-2.3, driving the game's two most impactful offensive moments. Tommy Edman and Freddie Freeman each contributed plus-13.6 WPA, with Edman posting the strongest run-environment figure among position players at plus-3.0 RE24. On the pitching side, Jack Dreyer led the bullpen with plus-8.8 WPA, followed by Brock Stewart at plus-3.8. Los Angeles finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while Philadelphia managed seven hits without a defensive miscue of its own.