Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers took a 2-1 decision over the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on July 17, 2026, holding off the home side in a tight, low-scoring contest. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with New York holding a 46 percent win probability, but by the final out that figure had fallen to zero. Los Angeles managed just five hits and committed one error, while the Yankees collected six hits without error but could not convert them into runs after the fourth inning when they took their only lead.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the seventh, when Max Muncy connected on a home run off Gerrit Cole that shifted the DiamondIQ model's win probability by 24.8 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor. That swing proved to be the turning point of the game, as Los Angeles plated two runs in the inning to turn a 1-0 deficit into a 2-1 lead they would not relinquish. The Yankees mounted late pressure, with the eighth inning featuring a Cody Bellinger flyout off Alex Vesia that represented a 22.1-point swing against New York's chances. The ninth produced two more critical outs — Jasson Domínguez lined out and José Caballero popped out against Tanner Scott — the latter shifting win probability 31.6 points, effectively closing the door.

On the performance ledger, Caballero led all batters with a WPA of plus 25.6 percent, while Muncy contributed plus 23.8 percent to go with a RE24 of plus 1.6, reflecting the direct run-environment value of his home run. Among the pitching staff, Alex Vesia was the standout with a WPA of plus 23.3 percent, followed by Jack Dreyer at plus 13.6 percent. Roki Sasaki added plus 7.9 percent on the mound, benefiting in part from Ben Rice grounding into a double play in the third inning, a play that shifted win probability 9.4 points against the Yankees.