MLB Recap · July 8, 2026

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

ATL3
Final
PIT0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATL000000021350
PIT000000000040

The Story

The Atlanta Braves shut out the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-0 at PNC Park on July 8, 2026, holding Pittsburgh scoreless across all nine innings while breaking through for all three of their runs in a decisive late-game sequence. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Pittsburgh a 46% chance of winning at home, but by the final out that figure had collapsed to zero, reflecting how completely Atlanta controlled the contest.

The turning point arrived in the top of the eighth inning, when Joey Bart connected for a home run off Dennis Santana that swung win probability 34.4 points in Atlanta's favor, the single most impactful play of the game. That blast accounted for the bulk of Bart's final line of plus 30.5% WPA and plus 1.5 RE24, making him the clear offensive catalyst of the night. Mike Yastrzemski followed with a double off Santana that added another 4.8 percentage points, and Atlanta would add a third run in the ninth to close out the scoring. Pittsburgh's best opportunities to respond were extinguished quietly, most notably when Jake Mangum struck out against Dylan Lee in the bottom of the eighth, costing the Pirates 5.6 points of win probability.

On the mound, Jared Jones led all pitchers with plus 31.2% WPA, while Grant Holmes contributed plus 20.0% and Dylan Lee added plus 13.3%, as the Atlanta staff combined to limit Pittsburgh to four hits and no runs. Marcell Ozuna chipped in plus 4.0% WPA after drawing a strikeout from Raisel Iglesias in the ninth went in Atlanta's favor, and Ozzie Albies added plus 1.2% WPA as the Braves completed a clean, efficient road shutout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATL bats firstFinalPIT win %ATL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Joey Bart Home Run
Top 8th · off Dennis Santana
+34.4%
Jake Mangum Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Dylan Lee
-5.6%
Marcell Ozuna Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Raisel Iglesias
+5.4%
Mike Yastrzemski Double
Top 8th · off Dennis Santana
+4.8%
Matt Olson Strikeout
Top 7th · off Mason Montgomery
-4.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Joey Bart+30.5%+1.5 RE24
Marcell Ozuna+4.0%-0.2 RE24
Ozzie Albies+1.2%-0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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