Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Cleveland Guardians 3-1 at Target Field on July 7, 2026, in a game that was largely decided by a pair of innings that swung decisively in Minnesota's favor. The DiamondIQ model opened the contest with the Twins holding a 52% home win probability, a near-even proposition that closed at 100% by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly Minnesota controlled the game's critical moments.

The second inning set the tone for the Twins, when Brooks Lee's single off Joey Cantillo added 8.0% to Minnesota's win probability, and the home side pushed across two runs to take an early lead. Cleveland managed a single run of its own in the top of the second, and Chase DeLauter's double off Taj Bradley in the top of the seventh briefly generated life for the Guardians, adding 9.8% to their win probability. However, Rhys Hoskins immediately followed with a strikeout against Bradley that erased 9.3% of Cleveland's probability, effectively ending the threat. Bradley was the game's most impactful pitcher, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-29.7%, supported by Andrew Morris at plus-8.1% and Franco Aleman at plus-5.3%.

Kody Clemens delivered the decisive blow in the bottom of the seventh, lashing a triple off Erik Sabrowski that shifted win probability by 14.8% and closed out the scoring at 3-1. Clemens finished as the game's top offensive performer with a total WPA of plus-16.0% and an RE24 of plus-1.3, while DeLauter led Cleveland's efforts at plus-14.2% WPA despite the loss. Ryan Kreidler also contributed for Minnesota, his second-inning double off Cantillo adding 7.2% to the Twins' probability on the way to a plus-6.3% WPA on the night. The Guardians managed just three hits and committed one error, leaving Minnesota's ten-hit effort unmatched.