Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants handed the Toronto Blue Jays a lopsided 10-1 defeat at Oracle Park on July 6, 2026, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as an even contest — a 50 percent home win probability — into a complete runaway, with the model's estimate reaching 100 percent by the final out. Toronto managed just three hits and committed three errors, while San Francisco collected eight hits and executed with precision throughout.

The game's decisive sequence arrived in the sixth inning, which effectively buried Toronto for good. Kazuma Okamoto led off the top half with a home run off Landen Roupp that added 8.3 percent to Toronto's win probability, briefly providing the Blue Jays with a measure of life. But the Giants answered emphatically in the bottom half, as Victor Bericoto's single off Kevin Gausman swung win probability 7.2 percent in San Francisco's favor, and Jung Hoo Lee followed with a fielder's choice that added another 5.8 percent. The five-run sixth inning off Gausman was the turning point, erasing any remaining competitive tension. Earlier, Lee's single in the fourth off Gausman had nudged the Giants forward by 5.4 percent, and Casey Schmitt's strikeout in the fifth had contributed a 5.9 percent swing that kept Toronto's offense suppressed through the middle innings.

Individually, Lee was the standout offensive performer, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-13.2 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.3, while Bericoto contributed plus-7.6 percent WPA. Rafael Devers added plus-4.6 percent WPA. On the mound, Landen Roupp was dominant, accumulating plus-21.4 percent WPA as the primary architect of the Giants' pitching performance, with Spencer Bivens and Adam Macko each holding at 0.0 percent WPA in their relief appearances.