MLB Recap · July 5, 2026

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

MIN6
Final
NYY1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN1001220006130
NYY000000001150

The Story

The Minnesota Twins dismantled the New York Yankees 6-1 at Yankee Stadium on July 5, 2026, completing a dominant road performance that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Yankees win from 61% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. Minnesota collected 12 hits against New York's pitching staff while committing no errors, compared to one costly miscue from the Yankees. The Twins scored in four separate innings — the 1st, 4th, 5th, and 6th — building their lead methodically before New York managed its lone run in the bottom of the 9th against a deep Minnesota bullpen.

The game's most consequential sequence arrived in the top of the 5th inning against Paul Blackburn, when Royce Lewis delivered a single that swung win probability 14.3 points in Minnesota's favor — part of a two-run frame that effectively put the contest out of reach. Lewis finished as the game's highest-impact offensive player, accumulating +21.8% WPA and a RE24 of +1.9 on the night. Brooks Lee had earlier set the tone with a single off Ryan Weathers in the 4th inning (+10.3% WP), finishing at +13.6% WPA. Austin Martin, though his biggest plays came more quietly, led all Twins batters in RE24 at +2.4. New York's most damaging moments came largely from their own hand — Max Schuemann's caught stealing in the 2nd inning cost the Yankees 7.0 percentage points of win probability, and Jasson Domínguez's flyout to strand runners in the 1st represented another -5.3% swing.

Joe Ryan was the clear engine of the Twins' victory on the mound, generating +32.9% WPA across his outing and keeping a Yankees lineup that entered the night as heavy favorites largely off the board through eight innings of work. Angel Chivilli and Jake Bird finished the game without meaningful probability impact, surrendering only the meaningless 9th-inning run. The DiamondIQ model had favored New York by a comfortable margin heading into the evening; instead, the Twins authored one of the more lopsided road outcomes of the season.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalNYY win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Royce Lewis Single
Top 5th · off Paul Blackburn
+14.3%
Brooks Lee Single
Top 4th · off Ryan Weathers
+10.3%
Max Schuemann Caught Stealing 2B
Bot 2nd · off Joe Ryan
-7.0%
Kody Clemens Strikeout
Top 5th · off Paul Blackburn
-6.5%
Bot 1st · off Joe Ryan
-5.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Royce Lewis+21.7%+1.9 RE24
Brooks Lee+13.7%+1.2 RE24
Austin Martin+8.5%+2.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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