Miami Marlins at Athletics: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins dismantled the Athletics 12-5 at Sutter Health Park on July 3, 2026, scoring six runs in the opening inning and never relinquishing control. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 48 percent home win probability for Oakland, but that figure collapsed almost immediately and closed at zero percent by game's end. Miami finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while the Athletics managed nine hits but were undone by an error and an inability to contain the Marlins' early surge.
The first two innings defined the game's trajectory. The most damaging swing in win-probability terms came in the bottom of the second, when Jeff McNeil's flyout off Tyler Phillips cost Oakland 11.4 percentage points of win probability, a reflection of how badly the Athletics needed to respond and failed to do so. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer's forceout in the bottom of the first, also off Phillips, erased another 10.6 points. On the Miami side, Heriberto Hernández's strikeout in the top of the second gained 10.6 points of win probability for the Marlins, and Leo Jiménez's strikeout to open the first added 9.6 points, both off Jack Perkins. A Nick Kurtz walk in the bottom of the fourth represented Oakland's most constructive moment, adding 10.4 points, but the Athletics could not convert the opportunity into a sustained rally.
Among individual performers, Kyle Stowers led all batters with a WPA of plus-16.9 and a RE24 of plus-3.0, making him the clearest driver of Miami's offensive output. Nick Kurtz followed at plus-13.0 WPA and plus-2.2 RE24, and Henry Bolte contributed plus-10.6 WPA. In the bullpen, Tyler Zuber, Lake Bachar, and Calvin Faucher posted WPA figures of plus-6.6, plus-6.3, and plus-6.0 respectively, helping Miami close out the game cleanly after the early damage was done.