MLB Recap · July 3, 2026

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

SF3
Final
COL15

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF001101000380
COL32207001-15182

The Story

The Colorado Rockies routed the San Francisco Giants 15-3 at Coors Field on July 3, 2026, a result that was never truly in doubt after the game's earliest innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the day giving Colorado a 53 percent home win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent as the Rockies piled up 18 hits against a Giants staff that had no answers across nine innings.

The game turned decisively in the bottom of the first and second innings, where Colorado established its advantage through a combination of Giants failure and Rockies execution. A groundout by Edouard Julien in the bottom of the first shifted win probability 5.6 percent in Colorado's favor off Logan Webb, signaling early trouble for San Francisco. The second inning proved even more damaging: a TJ Rumfield strikeout — a sequence that added 8.6 percent to Colorado's win probability — and an Ezequiel Tovar home run off Webb, worth 6.6 percent, effectively ended any competitive tension. On the other side, Bryce Eldridge's strikeout against Ryan Feltner in the top of the second cost the Giants 7.5 percent, snuffing out a potential response. A Casey Schmitt single in the third accounted for San Francisco's most meaningful positive swing at plus 4.3 percent, but the Giants never generated sustained pressure, scoring just three runs on eight hits with no errors.

Individually, Rumfield finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 9.8 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.5, while Tovar contributed plus 7.6 percent and led position players with a RE24 of plus 2.0. Julien added plus 7.8 percent of his own. On the mound, Ryan Feltner was the standout performer, posting plus 9.6 percent WPA as the model's top pitcher in the contest. Colorado's seven-run fifth inning put the final score well out of reach, capping one of the more lopsided afternoons the DiamondIQ model has tracked this season.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalCOL win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

TJ Rumfield Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Logan Webb
+8.6%
Bryce Eldridge Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Ryan Feltner
-7.5%
Ezequiel Tovar Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Logan Webb
+6.6%
Edouard Julien Groundout
Bot 1st · off Logan Webb
+5.6%
Casey Schmitt Single
Top 3rd · off Ryan Feltner
+4.3%

Top Batters by WPA

TJ Rumfield+9.8%+0.5 RE24
Edouard Julien+7.8%+0.0 RE24
Ezequiel Tovar+7.6%+2.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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