San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| LAD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | 12 | 17 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Diego Padres 12-7 on July 2, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win from a pre-game 68 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The Padres managed a two-run first inning but could not sustain the early pressure, and Los Angeles responded with a six-run second and fourth inning combination that effectively decided the outcome. The Dodgers finished with 17 hits and committed no errors, while San Diego managed 10 hits and likewise played clean defensively in a losing effort.
The fourth inning proved to be the decisive sequence by win-probability impact. Andy Pages delivered a double off Wandy Peralta that added 18.6 percentage points to Los Angeles's win probability, the single largest swing of the game, and the frame did not stop there. Mookie Betts followed with a double off the same pitcher worth 12.1 points, and Max Muncy added a single worth another 11.8 points, also against Peralta. The bottom of the second offered a notable counterpoint: Pages hit a flyout off Randy Vásquez that swung 14.6 points toward San Diego, while Ty France's pop out in the top of the second off Roki Sasaki moved 14.6 points in the Dodgers' favor, illustrating how quickly leverage shifted early in this game.
Among the standout individual performers, Ty France led all batters with a WPA of plus-25.5, though his RE24 of minus-0.9 indicated his contributions came more in high-leverage outs than in run production. Dalton Rushing posted both a strong WPA of plus-16.5 and the top RE24 among featured batters at plus-3.9, making him the most complete offensive contributor by the DiamondIQ model's accounting. Betts finished with a WPA of plus-13.7. On the mound, Will Klein led Dodger relievers at plus-10.0 WPA, with Randy Vásquez contributing plus-7.2 for San Diego in a bullpen effort that kept the deficit from expanding further in the middle frames.