Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners edged the Los Angeles Angels 1-0 at T-Mobile Park on July 2, 2026, in a tightly contested pitchers' duel that the DiamondIQ model entered favoring Seattle at 64% and ended with the home side at 100%. The lone run came in the bottom of the sixth, where Cal Raleigh's walk off Walbert Ureña proved to be the most consequential plate appearance of the game, shifting win probability by plus 12.5 points. Ureña then limited further damage by striking out Josh Naylor, a swing of minus 9.0 points that kept Seattle from extending what became its only lead of the night.

The ninth inning brought the game's most volatile sequence despite no Angels run crossing the plate. Andrés Muñoz navigated a tense frame that included a Zach Neto walk that momentarily moved the needle plus 10.6 points toward Los Angeles, followed almost immediately by Nolan Schanuel's single that clawed back another minus 10.1 points for the Angels. Wade Meckler's groundout to close the inning swung minus 10.9 points back to Seattle and effectively sealed the outcome, with Muñoz finishing the game having contributed plus 15.2 points of win probability for the Mariners.

Bryce Miller was the game's defining performer from a probability standpoint, posting a remarkable plus 30.9 points of win probability added across his outing as Seattle held Los Angeles to four hits and a single error in a game that produced just three combined runs on base. Cal Raleigh led position players with a final WPA of plus 9.5, while Randy Arozarena contributed plus 6.1 points and a RE24 of plus 0.9, providing the most run-context value among Seattle's batters on a night when manufacturing even one run proved sufficient.