MLB Recap · June 27, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

PHI2
Final
NYM6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI002000000250
NYM00000420-680

The Story

The New York Mets defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 6-2 at Citi Field on June 27, 2026, a game that began as a tightly contested affair before the Mets seized control with a four-run sixth inning and added two more in the seventh. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with New York holding a 41 percent pregame win probability, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out.

Philadelphia drew first blood in the third inning when Bryce Harper connected for a home run off Christian Scott, a swing that shifted win probability 20.0 points in the Phillies' favor and represented the high-water mark of their night. The Mets answered decisively in the sixth against reliever Alan Rangel, with Francisco Lindor delivering the game's single most impactful play, a triple that swung win probability 33.0 points toward New York. A.J. Ewing followed with a run-scoring single off Jonathan Bowlan for an additional 14.4-point swing, and a Juan Soto single off Rangel added another 4.2 points, capping the four-run frame. Soto continued his damage in the seventh with a triple off Kyle Backhus that moved the needle another 9.3 points.

By the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Lindor was the night's most valuable offensive contributor at plus-31.8 percent WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, followed by Soto at plus-14.2 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24. Harper's home run gave him plus-17.8 percent WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, making him the lone Phillie with a meaningful positive impact. On the mound, A.J. Minter led New York's relievers with plus-8.8 percent WPA, followed by Huascar Brazobán at plus-7.2 percent, as the Mets' bullpen protected the lead without difficulty through the game's final innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalNYM win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Francisco Lindor Triple
Bot 6th · off Alan Rangel
+33.0%
Bryce Harper Home Run
Top 3rd · off Christian Scott
+20.0%
A.J. Ewing Single
Bot 6th · off Jonathan Bowlan
+14.4%
Juan Soto Triple
Bot 7th · off Kyle Backhus
+9.3%
Juan Soto Single
Bot 6th · off Alan Rangel
+4.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Francisco Lindor+31.8%+2.1 RE24
Bryce Harper+17.8%+1.3 RE24
Juan Soto+14.2%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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