Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals outlasted the Baltimore Orioles 4-3 in ten innings at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 27, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Baltimore win falling from 50 percent before first pitch to 0 percent by the final out. The game was scoreless through the first inning before both teams exchanged runs in the second, and Washington added single tallies in the fifth and sixth to build a 3-1 lead. Baltimore answered with a two-run eighth on the strength of a Samuel Basallo single off Orlando Ribalta, worth +21.3 percent in win probability, followed by a Pete Alonso double that added another +17.9 percent, pulling the Orioles even at 3-3 and setting up extra innings.

The decisive blow came in the top of the tenth when Daylen Lile singled off Ryan Helsley, a swing of +36.5 percent in win probability that proved to be the largest single play of the game. Baltimore's half of the tenth unraveled quickly, as Taylor Ward grounded into a fielder's choice out off Justin Lawrence that swung the model's estimate by -33.9 percent against the Orioles, and Jackson Holliday followed with a groundout that added +23.7 percent from Washington's perspective, ending the threat and the game.

Among the standout performers, Basallo led all batters with a +32.3 percent WPA despite Baltimore's loss, while Lile finished at +29.4 percent and Holliday contributed +23.7 percent on the pitching side of the ledger. Foster Griffin was the most impactful arm of the night at +31.3 percent WPA, with Andrew Kittredge adding +13.5 percent and Keegan Akin contributing +7.7 percent in support. Washington's 13-hit attack against Baltimore's 7 ultimately proved the difference, with the visitors collecting enough in the right moments to secure the road victory.