MLB Recap · June 27, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

LAD15
Final
SD3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD01000904115170
SD000011100391

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers routed the San Diego Padres 15-3 at Petco Park on June 27, 2026, turning what was a competitive game through five innings into a lopsided finish. The DiamondIQ model opened with San Diego holding a 43 percent home win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out. The Padres briefly trimmed the deficit with a Gavin Sheets home run off Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the bottom of the fifth, a swing that added 13.1 percent to San Diego's win probability and represented the high-water mark of the home team's threat. That momentum proved short-lived.

The sixth inning was where the game broke apart entirely. Los Angeles sent nine runs across against Randy Vásquez in what became the decisive frame. Tommy Edman's triple was the single biggest play of the night by win-probability impact, adding 19.9 percent to the Dodgers' chances and igniting the rally. Kyle Tucker followed with a home run that pushed the advantage further, adding 10.7 percent, and a field error charged to Max Muncy contributed an additional 8.5 percent swing in Los Angeles's favor as the inning continued to compound. San Diego had its own significant damage earlier, when Will Wagner grounded into a double play in the third against Yamamoto, costing the Padres 8.6 percent in win probability at a moment when the game remained within reach.

Edman finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, posting a plus-21.7 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.9. Tucker contributed plus-10.4 percent WPA alongside a plus-2.4 RE24, while Sheets led all Padres hitters with plus-11.9 percent WPA and a plus-2.0 RE24 despite his team's loss. Yamamoto led all pitchers with a plus-8.9 percent WPA, limiting damage before the Dodgers offense overwhelmed the San Diego bullpen. Los Angeles finished with 17 hits and committed no errors, while the Padres managed nine hits and were charged with one error in the defeat.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalSD win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tommy Edman Triple
Top 6th · off Randy Vásquez
+19.9%
Gavin Sheets Home Run
Bot 5th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+13.1%
Kyle Tucker Home Run
Top 6th · off Randy Vásquez
+10.7%
Will Wagner Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
-8.6%
Max Muncy Field Error
Top 6th · off Randy Vásquez
+8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Tommy Edman+21.7%+2.9 RE24
Gavin Sheets+11.9%+2.0 RE24
Kyle Tucker+10.4%+2.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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