Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies rallied past the Washington Nationals 5-4 at Nationals Park on June 24, 2026, completing a comeback that flipped the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a 50-50 proposition at first pitch to a 0% home-win probability by the final out. Washington had built an early advantage with single runs in the first and second innings, and the Nationals added two more in the sixth to push their lead to four. Philadelphia chipped away in the fourth, when Bryson Stott delivered a double against Miles Mikolas that shifted win probability by 13.7 points, and Gabriel Rincones Jr. followed with a single worth an additional 9.9 points, as the Phillies scored three times that frame to cut the deficit to one. A Curtis Mead home run off Jonathan Bowlan in the bottom of the sixth moved in the Nationals' favor by 28.7 points, extending Washington's lead back to two heading into the late innings.

The decisive moment arrived in the top of the ninth, when Derek Hill launched a home run off Richard Lovelady that swung win probability by a game-altering 74.1 points and gave Philadelphia a 5-4 lead it would not relinquish. Hill finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-74.1 with a RE24 of plus-1.9, making his blast the single most impactful play of the contest by a wide margin. With the lead in hand, Philadelphia's bullpen closed out Washington in the bottom half, highlighted by Jhoan Duran striking out Luis García Jr. to strand any remaining threat, a play worth 31.6 points in the Phillies' favor. García Jr. ended up as the second-highest batter by WPA at plus-35.7, reflecting his overall contributions on the evening. On the mound, PJ Poulin led Philadelphia's relievers with a WPA of plus-16.2, followed by Carson Palmquist at plus-12.3 and Orlando Ribalta at plus-8.4, as the trio combined to preserve the one-run advantage and complete the road victory on a clean defensive line of zero errors.