Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | 11 | 15 | 0 |
The Story
The Pittsburgh Pirates handed the Seattle Mariners a lopsided 11-1 defeat at PNC Park on June 24, 2026, a game that turned decisively in the fourth inning and never looked back. The DiamondIQ model opened with Pittsburgh holding a 53% home win probability, but by the time the dust settled the model's estimate had climbed to 100%, reflecting just how thoroughly the Pirates controlled the contest. Seattle managed seven hits and committed one error, while Pittsburgh pounded out 15 hits without a miscue across nine innings.
The fourth inning was the game's defining sequence, and Bryan Woo absorbed the full force of it. Tyler Callihan's triple was the single biggest swing of the night, shifting win probability by plus 16.3%, and it opened the floodgates on what became a five-run frame. Endy Rodríguez followed with a double worth plus 10.9%, Ryan O'Hearn added another double at plus 9.8%, and Esmerlyn Valdez drove in another run with a single worth plus 6.3%, all against Woo. Pittsburgh tacked on four more runs in the seventh and two in the eighth to push the final margin to ten. The lone negative moment for Pittsburgh came in the third, when Spencer Horwitz grounded into a double play off Woo, costing the home side 8.6% in win probability at a moment when they were still building toward that decisive frame.
On the individual ledger, Callihan finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a WPA of plus 12.9% and an RE24 of plus 0.8, while Rodríguez posted plus 12.1% WPA and a 2.1 RE24, and O'Hearn led all hitters in run expectancy added at plus 2.9 RE24 to go with his plus 9.4% WPA. On the mound, Braxton Ashcraft was the clear pitching standout, generating plus 14.8% WPA to pace a Pittsburgh staff that also received contributions from Carmen Mlodzinski and Michael Rucker. The DiamondIQ model leans toward this performance as a reflection of Pittsburgh's offensive depth, with the middle of their lineup proving too much for Seattle's starter to contain.