Chicago Cubs at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago Cubs handed the New York Mets a 10-5 defeat at Citi Field on June 24, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Mets win from 43 percent before first pitch to zero by the final out. The Cubs posted all ten of their runs across four active innings while New York committed six errors, a combination that proved impossible to overcome. Chicago's offense came to life in the second inning with a three-run frame and then delivered its most decisive blow in the fourth, where Dansby Swanson's single off Sean Manaea shifted win probability 17.8 percentage points in the Cubs' favor. Swanson returned in the sixth with a triple off Brooks Raley that added another 15.9 points, and Chicago closed the game with a three-run ninth that left no doubt about the outcome.

For the Mets, the brief moments of resistance came early. A.J. Ewing hit a home run off Shota Imanaga in the bottom of the second that generated a 14.0-point swing for New York, and Bo Bichette connected for a solo home run off Gavin Hollowell in the sixth worth 13.7 points. Bichette added a double off Trent Thornton in the eighth for another 12.4-point swing, but those plays ultimately amounted to a delay rather than a reversal of the game's trajectory.

Swanson finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, contributing plus-32.0 percent in win probability added and a RE24 of plus-4.0. Ewing posted plus-26.0 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-2.5, and Bichette finished at plus-26.9 percent WPA despite pitching for the losing side. On the mound, Chicago's bullpen was the principal driver of the win, with Huascar Brazobán leading Cubs pitchers at plus-17.6 percent WPA, followed by Trent Thornton at plus-13.3 percent and Hoby Milner at plus-9.7 percent.