MLB Recap · June 23, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

PHI14
Final
WSH9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI00002013814171
WSH010400031981

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies erupted for 14 runs on 17 hits to defeat the Washington Nationals 9 at Nationals Park on June 23, 2026, in a game that was far closer than the final score suggested before a chaotic late collapse. The DiamondIQ model opened the night with the Nationals holding a 51% home win probability, and Washington did enough early to maintain that edge, plating four runs in the bottom of the fourth on a Nasim Nuñez single off Jesús Luzardo that swung win probability by 14.1 points in the Nationals' favor and staked them to what looked like a comfortable cushion heading into the middle innings.

The game turned decisively in the eighth and ninth innings, when Philadelphia dismantled the Washington bullpen in back-to-back devastating frames. J.T. Realmuto's double off Clayton Beeter in the top of the eighth shifted win probability 40.2 points toward Philadelphia, beginning the Phillies' comeback in earnest. Washington briefly answered in the bottom half when Jorbit Vivas launched a home run off Orion Kerkering that pushed the probability back toward the Nationals by 33.9 points, making it a genuine contest entering the ninth. But Philadelphia put the game away decisively against Brad Lord, as Bryson Stott's home run added 49.0 percentage points and Brandon Marsh's home run added another 36.8, the two blows combining to swing the game nearly 86 points in Philadelphia's favor during an eight-run ninth-inning outburst that rendered Washington's chances at zero.

Stott finished as the game's most valuable player by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a WPA of plus 58.6% and an RE24 of plus 3.0, while Marsh contributed plus 47.6% WPA and plus 2.4 RE24. Vivas led Washington's individual contributors with plus 39.4% WPA and plus 2.8 RE24, though his effort came in a losing cause. Among pitchers, Zack Littell led Philadelphia's relief corps with plus 8.1% WPA, followed by Orlando Ribalta at plus 5.6%, as the Phillies' bullpen did just enough to strand the Nationals' late momentum and preserve a wire-to-wire collapse for Washington's relievers.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalWSH win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bryson Stott Home Run
Top 9th · off Brad Lord
+49.0%
J.T. Realmuto Double
Top 8th · off Clayton Beeter
+40.2%
Brandon Marsh Home Run
Top 9th · off Brad Lord
+36.8%
Jorbit Vivas Home Run
Bot 8th · off Orion Kerkering
+33.9%
Nasim Nuñez Single
Bot 4th · off Jesús Luzardo
+14.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryson Stott+58.6%+3.0 RE24
Brandon Marsh+47.6%+2.4 RE24
Jorbit Vivas+39.4%+2.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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