Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers defeated the Miami Marlins 4-3 at loanDepot park on June 22, 2026, handing the home side a loss despite the DiamondIQ model entering the game with a 56 percent pre-game win probability in favor of Miami. The Rangers broke a scoreless tie in the fourth inning when Ezequiel Duran connected on a home run off Tyler Phillips, a swing that shifted win probability 21.5 percent in Texas's favor. Miami answered with single runs in the fifth and sixth to pull even at two apiece, but the Rangers pulled ahead again in the eighth on an Alejandro Osuna double off Calvin Faucher, a hit that added 19.4 percent in win probability for Texas and ultimately made it a 4-2 game with one Miami run following later that frame on a Kyle Stowers double off Jacob Latz, closing the gap to 4-3.
Latz and the Rangers bullpen navigated a tense final two innings to seal the result. The most consequential defensive moment of the game came in the bottom of the ninth, when Javier Sanoja grounded into an out against Latz in what registered as a 31.6 percent win-probability swing — the largest single-play impact of the night — ending Miami's last real threat and dropping the Marlins' win probability to zero. Sanoja's groundout was doubly notable because he finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 28.4 percent, a reflection of how much leverage surrounded his late plate appearances despite the unfavorable outcome on that final swing. Brandon Nimmo contributed a plus 19.0 percent WPA with a plus 1.5 RE24 line, and Osuna added plus 15.6 percent WPA in support of the Rangers offense.
On the pitching side, Robby Ahlstrom led all pitchers with a plus 8.3 percent WPA, followed by Anthony Bender at plus 5.7 percent and Dax Fulton at plus 3.6 percent, as the Texas bullpen collectively managed the Marlins' lineup through the late innings to preserve what had been a two-run lead entering the eighth. Texas finished with nine hits and committed no errors, while Miami's seven hits and clean defensive performance were ultimately not enough to overcome the Rangers' timely extra-base hitting and late-inning pitching.