MLB Recap · June 20, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

PIT1
Final
COL2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PIT100000000160
COL10100000-250

The Story

The Colorado Rockies defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 at Coors Field on June 20, 2026, in a low-scoring affair that was decided by a single run. Colorado scored in each of the first two scoring frames, plating one in the first inning and another in the third to build a 2-1 lead, while Pittsburgh managed its lone run in the opening inning. Neither team crossed the plate again through the middle and late innings, leaving the Rockies clinging to that one-run advantage heading into the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Pittsburgh a slight pre-game edge at 57% and Colorado 43%, but by game's end had shifted to 100% in Colorado's favor.

The ninth inning encapsulated the entire tension of the game. Pittsburgh mounted what looked like a genuine threat against Colorado's bullpen, with Brandon Lowe delivering a double off Brennan Bernardino that swung win probability 20.4 points in Pittsburgh's direction, and Bryan Reynolds following with a single worth 17.6 points. The rally, however, stalled under Jaden Hill's intervention, as Tyler Callihan's strikeout removed 22.9 points of Pittsburgh's win probability and Jake Mangum's fielders choice out cost another 20.7 points, effectively ending any hope of a comeback. Ryan O'Hearn's strikeout off Bernardino earlier in the frame had already bled 16.3 points from Pittsburgh's chances.

On the pitching side, Jaden Hill was the most impactful performer of the game by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a WPA of plus 36.9%, while Tomoyuki Sugano contributed plus 30.6% and Jimmy Herget added plus 13.7% to Colorado's cause. Among position players, Lowe led all batters at plus 13.3% WPA, with Troy Johnston at plus 12.5% and Reynolds at plus 12.2% rounding out the top three, though Reynolds's minus 0.1 RE24 reflected the ultimately unproductive nature of his contribution in the context of run expectancy.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PIT bats firstFinalCOL win %PIT win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 43.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tyler Callihan Strikeout
Top 9th · off Jaden Hill
-22.9%
Jake Mangum Fielders Choice Out
Top 9th · off Jaden Hill
-20.7%
Brandon Lowe Double
Top 9th · off Brennan Bernardino
+20.4%
Bryan Reynolds Single
Top 9th · off Brennan Bernardino
+17.6%
Ryan O'Hearn Strikeout
Top 9th · off Brennan Bernardino
-16.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Brandon Lowe+13.3%+0.4 RE24
Troy Johnston+12.5%+0.1 RE24
Bryan Reynolds+12.2%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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