New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
The New York Mets defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 6-4 at Citizens Bank Park on June 18, 2026, overcoming a game in which the DiamondIQ model had opened with a 62 percent pre-game win probability favoring the home side. The Mets scratched out an early lead in the first inning and Juan Soto extended it with a home run off Aaron Nola in the third, a swing worth +9.8 percent in win probability. The Phillies answered with a run of their own in the third and added another in the fourth on a Derek Hill single off Sean Manaea that carried a +10.7 percent win-probability impact, keeping Philadelphia competitive through the middle innings.
The game turned decisively in the seventh. With the Mets facing reliever José Alvarado, Marcus Semien delivered a triple that shifted the win probability by +25.0 percent, the single largest swing of the contest. Eric Wagaman followed with a run-scoring single off Alvarado, adding another +13.8 percent, and the Mets pushed three runs across in the inning to take a 6-2 lead. Philadelphia made a mild push in the ninth against Devin Williams, but a Kyle Schwarber lineout that registered +11.6 percent win probability for the Phillies reflected the model's recognition of a still-consequential situation rather than a dramatic rally, as the Mets held on for the two-run final margin.
Among individual performers, Semien was the standout by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a combined +28.3 percent WPA and +1.5 RE24, with his seventh-inning triple as the fulcrum of New York's decisive frame. Wagaman added +13.8 percent WPA in support. On the pitching side, starter Sean Manaea led all pitchers at +11.9 percent WPA despite allowing the Hill single, while Seth Johnson and A.J. Minter each contributed positive WPA in relief to close out the Mets' road victory.