Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 4-3 on June 15, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers win climbing from 58 percent before first pitch to a certainty by game's end. The contest was effectively decided in the first two innings, as Tampa Bay struck first with two runs in the top of the first and one more in the second, only to see Los Angeles answer with three runs of its own in the bottom of the second. Kyle Tucker's home run off Nick Martinez in that second inning was the single largest positive swing for the Dodgers early on, adding 14.7 percent to their win probability and shifting the game's momentum to the home side before the lineup had turned over twice.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the seventh when Miguel Rojas connected for a home run off Steven Matz, the biggest win-probability swing of the night at plus-17.1 percent, giving Los Angeles the lead it would not relinquish. Tampa Bay mounted a threat in the top of the eighth when Ryan Vilade singled off Will Klein to push the Rays' chances up 7.9 percent, but Cedric Mullins followed with a flyout against Alex Vesia that erased nearly as much, dropping the Rays' probability by 7.7 percent. Mullins had also been at the center of a pivotal negative moment in the sixth, grounding into a double play off Eric Lauer that cost Tampa Bay 10.6 percent in win probability.

Rojas led all batters with a WPA of plus-17.1 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Tucker finished with the highest RE24 among position players at plus-1.4 to go with a WPA of plus-15.4 percent. Jonathan Aranda contributed a plus-9.4 percent WPA and plus-0.6 RE24 for the Rays in a losing effort. On the mound, Tanner Scott was the top-performing pitcher by WPA at plus-15.2 percent, with Eric Lauer at plus-8.5 percent and Nick Martinez at plus-8.4 percent rounding out the key contributors for Los Angeles in the victory.