MLB Recap · June 15, 2026

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

LAA3
Final
AZ4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA1000100013101
AZ10010020-480

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks held off the Los Angeles Angels 4-3 at Chase Field on June 15, 2026, in a game that hinged on a decisive seventh inning. Arizona entered the day as a heavy favorite, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate placing the home side at a 65 percent pre-game win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent.

The Angels briefly seized momentum in the fifth when Mike Trout connected on a home run off Ryne Nelson, a swing that shifted win probability 12.4 points in Los Angeles's favor and briefly tightened what had been a comfortable Arizona cushion. The Angels' best chance to extend the lead came and went in the seventh, however, when Zach Neto grounded into a double play off Nelson, a sequence that swung win probability 12.2 points against Los Angeles and effectively extinguished the rally before it started. Arizona answered immediately in the bottom half against Walbert Ureña. Geraldo Perdomo's two-run double led off the inning with a 14.4-point win-probability swing, and Pavin Smith followed with a home run worth an additional 8.2 points, giving Arizona the lead it would not relinquish.

Perdomo was the game's most impactful offensive player by the DiamondIQ model's measure, finishing at plus-15.2 percent WPA and plus-1.4 RE24, while Trout matched the RE24 figure at plus-1.4 despite his team's loss, reflecting just how critical his solo shot was in keeping Los Angeles competitive. On the pitching side, Ryne Nelson led all pitchers at plus-15.3 percent WPA, a testament to how well he limited damage in the innings that mattered most. Jonathan Loáisiga and Paul Sewald each contributed positive outings in relief, adding 8.1 and 6.3 WPA points respectively as Arizona closed out a one-run victory on eight hits and no errors.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalAZ win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 65.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Geraldo Perdomo Double
Bot 7th · off Walbert Ureña
+14.4%
Mike Trout Home Run
Top 5th · off Ryne Nelson
+12.4%
Zach Neto Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Ryne Nelson
-12.2%
Pavin Smith Home Run
Bot 7th · off Walbert Ureña
+8.2%
Corbin Carroll Groundout
Bot 5th · off Walbert Ureña
-6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Geraldo Perdomo+15.2%+1.4 RE24
Mike Trout+13.4%+1.4 RE24
Pavin Smith+9.5%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →