Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies overcame a late deficit to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers 9-8 at American Family Field on June 13, 2026, in a game that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home Milwaukee victory open at 61 percent before ultimately falling to zero. Philadelphia collected 17 hits in the win while the Brewers managed 12, with neither team committing an error across nine innings. The Phillies' decisive push came in the top of the sixth inning, when J.T. Realmuto delivered a home run off Chad Patrick worth 17.8 percent in win probability, part of a five-run frame that swung the momentum of the game decisively in Philadelphia's favor. Milwaukee had answered earlier in the fourth when Garrett Mitchell connected on a home run off Aaron Nola, a swing worth 18.0 percent in win-probability terms that had kept the Brewers competitive through the middle innings.
The eighth inning produced the game's sharpest sequence of probability movement. Andrew Vaughn worked a walk off Brad Keller that added 19.4 percent to Milwaukee's win probability, representing the Brewers' most dangerous late threat. However, William Contreras followed with a pop out that swung 18.7 percent back toward Philadelphia, effectively neutralizing the rally before it could fully develop. The ninth inning brought one final dramatic moment when Sal Frelick led off the bottom half against Jhoan Duran and flew out, a play that added 31.6 percent to Philadelphia's win probability by extinguishing the last realistic path to a Brewers comeback.
Among individual performers, Frelick led all players with a WPA of plus-39.4 percent despite a modest RE24 of plus-0.4, reflecting his outsized role in preserving the final margin. Jackson Chourio posted the game's highest RE24 at plus-3.3 to accompany a plus-32.4 percent WPA, while Realmuto finished with plus-3.5 RE24 and plus-27.8 percent WPA to anchor the Phillies' offensive contribution. On the mound, Trevor Megill led Philadelphia's relievers with a plus-3.6 percent WPA, followed by Tim Mayza at plus-3.0 percent and Orion Kerkering at plus-2.4 percent as the bullpen held Milwaukee at bay through the final frames.