Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles defeated the Seattle Mariners 7-5 on June 11, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in a game that was effectively decided by a six-run third inning that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate from an even 50 percent pre-game home win probability to a position of near-total Baltimore control. Seattle had taken a 1-0 lead in the top of the first, but the Orioles answered with an outburst against Bryan Woo in the bottom of the third that swung the game irrevocably. The single most impactful play of the contest was an Adley Rutschman double that added 16.6 percent to Baltimore's win probability, followed immediately by a Pete Alonso home run and a Colton Cowser home run, each worth an additional 11.0 percent. Those three plays alone accounted for a combined 38.6 percent swing, and by the end of the inning the Mariners were chasing a deficit they would never fully close.

Seattle mounted a credible response in the top of the fourth, with Julio Rodríguez delivering a single worth 10.3 percent in win probability and Luke Raley following with a home run that added another 9.4 percent off Kyle Bradish, pulling the Mariners within range at 5-4 after four. Baltimore tacked on a run in the bottom of the fifth to push the lead back to two, and that margin held through the final five scoreless innings. Rutschman finished as the game's top performer by DiamondIQ metrics, posting a combined WPA of plus 23.8 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.7, while Rodríguez led Seattle with plus 15.9 percent WPA and plus 1.9 RE24. On the mound, Tyler Wells was the standout contributor in the Baltimore bullpen, credited with plus 20.1 percent WPA, with Andrew Kittredge and Grant Wolfram each adding positive contributions to preserve the two-run final margin.