MLB Recap · June 10, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

LAD8
Final
PIT9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000204002881
PIT00010035-9111

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates rallied past the Los Angeles Dodgers 9-8 at PNC Park on June 10, 2026, completing a dramatic comeback that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Pirates win climb from 42% before first pitch all the way to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles had appeared to seize control with a four-run sixth inning, highlighted by Ryan Ward's home run off Carmen Mlodzinski that shifted win probability 29.6 points in the Dodgers' favor and gave LAD what looked like a commanding advantage heading into the late innings. Pittsburgh answered with a three-run seventh, aided in large part by an error off Alex Vesia on a Bryan Reynolds plate appearance that added 12.4 points of win probability for the home side, before the Pirates fully took over in the eighth.

The eighth inning was the decisive frame, and Tyler Callihan was its central figure. Callihan's home run off Kyle Hurt represented the single biggest swing of the night at plus-39.2 points of win probability, and he added further damage later in the inning as Pittsburgh plated five runs total in the frame. Spencer Horwitz contributed a home run off Jack Dreyer worth 15.5 points, and a Rafael Flores Jr. walk off Hurt added another 11.5 points as Pittsburgh methodically dismantled the Dodgers' bullpen. Los Angeles pushed across two runs in the ninth but could not complete the comeback, finishing with a line of 8 runs on 8 hits with one error against Pittsburgh's 9 runs on 11 hits.

Callihan finished as the game's most impactful performer by a wide margin, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-54.7 and an RE24 of plus-3.7. Ward was the standout on the losing side with a WPA of plus-25.2 and RE24 of plus-2.9, while Max Muncy contributed plus-12.2 WPA for Los Angeles. Among pitchers, Shohei Ohtani led Dodgers contributors at plus-3.9 WPA, though Pittsburgh's relievers ultimately proved the difference in securing a win the DiamondIQ model had rated as a coin-flip entering the night.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalPIT win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tyler Callihan Home Run
Bot 8th · off Kyle Hurt
+39.2%
Ryan Ward Home Run
Top 6th · off Carmen Mlodzinski
+29.6%
Spencer Horwitz Home Run
Bot 8th · off Jack Dreyer
+15.5%
Bryan Reynolds Field Error
Bot 7th · off Alex Vesia
+12.4%
Bot 8th · off Kyle Hurt
+11.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyler Callihan+54.7%+3.7 RE24
Ryan Ward+25.2%+2.9 RE24
Max Muncy+12.2%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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