Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| COL | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 7 | 12 | 0 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies defeated the Chicago Cubs 7-3 at Coors Field on June 9, 2026, a result that largely took shape in the opening two innings. Colorado entered as a slight underdog by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, which placed the Rockies' pre-game win probability at 40%, but that figure climbed steadily and ultimately reached 100% as the home side built an early and insurmountable advantage. The Rockies scored two in the first, added three more in the second, and tacked on two additional runs in the third to effectively end any suspense before the Cubs mounted a two-run reply in the sixth.
The game's most consequential sequence came in the bottom of the second, where TJ Rumfield's lineout — somewhat unusually for an out — registered a win-probability swing of plus 12.2% for Colorado, reflecting the run-scoring context in which it occurred against Cubs starter Colin Rea. That same frame saw Ezequiel Tovar connect on a home run off Rea worth plus 5.7% to the Rockies' win probability. On the other side of the ledger, Miguel Amaya's forceout in the top of the second was the single most damaging play for Chicago, costing the Cubs 9.9% in win probability against Tomoyuki Sugano. Troy Johnston contributed a groundout in the first that added 7.0% for Colorado, and Edouard Julien's single in the third was worth another plus 6.7%.
Among individual performers, Rumfield finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 11.6%, while Julien posted both the second-highest WPA among hitters at plus 11.2% and the best RE24 among that group at plus 2.0, underlining his direct run-production impact. Troy Johnston rounded out the top three at plus 9.6% WPA. On the mound, Sugano led all pitchers with plus 11.3% WPA, and Brennan Bernardino and Antonio Senzatela provided additional support at plus 2.9% and plus 1.9%, respectively. Colorado's final line of seven runs on 12 hits reflected a thorough effort, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate confirmed it was never truly in doubt after the game's opening frames.