San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handed the Chicago Cubs a 2-1 defeat in ten innings at Wrigley Field on June 7, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that placed the home side's win probability at 64 percent. The Giants scratched across a run in the first inning and the Cubs answered in the third, and neither team could break the deadlock again through nine, setting the stage for extras to decide matters. San Francisco carried the margin it needed out of the tenth, while Chicago's bullpen could not hold.
The single biggest swing of the game came in the top of the tenth inning when Matt Chapman lined a single off Trent Thornton that shifted win probability 36.5 percentage points in the Giants' favor, the decisive blow of the night. Chapman finished as the game's top offensive performer by a considerable margin, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-37.0 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.8. The Cubs had their own opportunities to end things earlier but could not capitalize. In the bottom of the eighth, Alex Bregman grounded into a double play off Erik Miller that collapsed Chicago's win probability by 24.2 points, erasing what had been a promising situation. Michael Busch had kept that frame alive momentarily with a single that added 10.6 points of win probability, but Bregman's rally-killing groundball proved the larger story. Bregman was again at the center of a critical moment in the bottom of the tenth, popping out against Dylan Smith in a plate appearance that added 19.0 points of win probability to San Francisco's ledger and effectively sealed the outcome.
On the mound, Chicago's starters and relievers dominated most of the statistical ledger despite the loss. Javier Assad led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-36.1 percent, followed by Trevor McDonald at plus-23.5 and Daniel Palencia at plus-13.5, though those gains were ultimately undone by the tenth-inning collapse. For the Cubs' offense, Moisés Ballesteros contributed a WPA of plus-11.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-0.9, while Miguel Amaya added plus-5.8 percent WPA. San Francisco finished with four hits to Chicago's seven but made the decisive ones count, handing the Cubs a loss in which the DiamondIQ model's final win probability for Chicago reached zero.