Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays shut out the Miami Marlins 6-0 at loanDepot park on June 5, 2026, scoring three runs in the first inning and adding single runs in the fifth, sixth, and seventh to complete a dominant road performance. The DiamondIQ model's estimate entered the game giving Miami a 38 percent chance of winning at home, and that figure fell to zero by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly Tampa Bay controlled the contest from the opening frame. The Rays finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while the Marlins managed just two hits and were charged with one error across nine innings.
The decisive turning point came early, as Drew Rasmussen kept Miami off the board whenever the Marlins showed any sign of life. In the bottom of the first, Kyle Stowers' lineout cost Miami 3.9 percent in win probability, and Jakob Marsee's strikeout in the bottom of the second surrendered another 5.6 percent, each out compounding the damage done by Tampa Bay's three-run first. On the offensive side, Jonathan Aranda was the most impactful bat, contributing a combined 8.4 percent in win probability added. His walk against Tyler Phillips in the third added 3.0 percent, and his fifth-inning single against Phillips added another 5.6 percent, effectively extending the Rays' grip on the game. Cedric Mullins punctuated the sixth with a home run off Phillips worth 4.1 percent in win probability, and Junior Caminero posted the strongest RE24 figure among position players at plus-1.7.
Rasmussen was the story on the mound, finishing with a game-high 29.2 percent in win probability added, a figure that reflects his dominance in suppressing a Miami offense that never found consistent footing. Cole Sulser and Tyler Zuber each logged neutral contributions in relief, preserving the shutout without altering the outcome's probability in either direction. The model leans toward crediting Rasmussen's outing as the single largest factor in Tampa Bay's comfortable margin, given how quickly his early work closed off any realistic path to a Marlins comeback.