Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians handed the New York Yankees a 5-4 defeat at Yankee Stadium on June 3, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate that gave the home side a 56 percent chance of winning. Cleveland built its lead through two critical blows off Gerrit Cole: a Rhys Hoskins home run in the fourth inning that swung win probability 20.4 percent in the Guardians' favor, and a José Ramírez home run in the sixth that added another 12.1 percent. New York kept pace in part through a José Caballero home run off Gavin Williams in the bottom of the fourth, a swing worth 11.3 percent in the Yankees' direction, but Cleveland's 8th-inning run ultimately proved to be the margin.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the bottom of the ninth, when the Yankees threatened to erase the deficit entirely. Paul Goldschmidt opened the inning with a double off Cade Smith, a hit that shifted win probability 10.9 percent toward New York and set the stage for a potentially decisive rally. Instead, Cade Smith retired José Caballero on a pop out to close the door, a result that carried the single largest win-probability swing of the game at 31.6 percent, sealing Cleveland's victory and pushing the DiamondIQ model's final home win estimate to zero.

On the individual side, Caballero finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-41.0 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.1, a figure driven almost entirely by the enormous leverage of his final at-bat. Hoskins led all players with a RE24 of plus-2.6 to accompany his plus-30.2 WPA, while Ramírez contributed plus-20.6 WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.6. Cleveland's bullpen anchored the win from the mound, with Hunter Gaddis posting plus-13.3 WPA, Fernando Cruz adding plus-12.3, and Colin Holderman contributing plus-9.7 to preserve what had been a hard-earned one-run advantage.