Athletics at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| CHC | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Athletics defeated the Cubs 5-4 in ten innings at Wrigley Field on June 3, 2026, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had made increasingly unlikely before swinging decisively in Oakland's favor. The Cubs entered with a 56 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model, and that advantage looked intact through much of the game as Chicago posted runs in the first, second, third, and fourth innings. Oakland answered early with a run in the first and added another in the second, but the Athletics went scoreless through seven straight innings before a two-run eighth put them level heading to extras.
The tenth inning settled the game with a series of high-leverage swings that the DiamondIQ model registered as decisive. Tyler Soderstrom grounded out in the top of the tenth off Ryan Rolison, a play that added 21.1 percent win probability for the Athletics by driving in what proved to be the go-ahead run under the automatic runner rule. When Oakland reliever Justin Sterner took the mound for the bottom of the tenth, the game's three most impactful batting plays unfolded in sequence. Nico Hoerner lined out with a runner in scoring position, a sequence that added 23.7 percent win probability for Oakland by failing to advance the tying run. Alex Bregman followed with another lineout that added 19.0 percent. Pete Crow-Armstrong then struck out to end the game, a moment that carried a 25.9 percent win-probability swing against the Cubs and the largest single-play impact of the night.
Soderstrom finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-27.5 percent, with Hoerner at plus-22.8 and Bregman at plus-21.6, though the latter two accumulated their figures largely by failing to reach base in critical spots. Crow-Armstrong, who had provided the Cubs' biggest offensive moment with a home run off Jeffrey Springs in the third that added 17.5 percent win probability for Chicago, ended the night as the central figure on both ends of the outcome. On the mound, Daniel Palencia led Oakland's pitching staff with plus-13.5 percent WPA, followed by Luis Medina at plus-10.9 and Colin Rea at plus-8.8, a collective effort that erased Wrigley Field's pre-game edge entirely.