Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Baltimore Orioles defeated the Boston Red Sox 4-2 at Fenway Park on June 2, 2026, building their lead in the early innings and holding on through a tense finish. The DiamondIQ model opened with a dead-even split, assigning Boston a 49% pre-game win probability, but that number eroded steadily as Baltimore scored in each of the first four frames and never surrendered the lead. The Orioles finished with nine hits and committed no errors, while Boston managed only five hits against a Baltimore pitching staff that grew increasingly dominant as the game progressed.
The decisive blow came in the top of the third inning, when Pete Alonso launched a home run off Connelly Early, a swing that shifted win probability 18.1 points in Baltimore's favor and represented the single most impactful offensive event of the night. Alonso finished as the second-most valuable batter by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a WPA of plus-19.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.0. Boston kept the game alive into the late innings, and Mickey Gasper drew a walk in the seventh that nudged Boston's chances upward by 7.0 points, but Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounded into a double play on the same frame, a swing of minus-14.0 points that effectively erased that momentum. Gasper's ninth-inning flyout to end the game carried a WPA of plus-14.4 points from Boston's perspective, underscoring how much the Red Sox needed that at-bat to produce.
On the pitching side, Shane Baz led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-22.1, navigating the seventh inning's threats to preserve Baltimore's advantage. Andrew Kittredge added plus-13.3 in the eighth, retiring Boston including Wilyer Abreu on a groundout that shifted probability another 7.4 points toward the Orioles. Greg Weissert contributed plus-6.7 to round out a bullpen that combined to protect a lead built entirely in the game's first half. Gasper led all batters with a WPA of plus-24.4, a figure that reflected how frequently Boston placed him in high-leverage situations without being able to convert.