Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the Houston Astros 2-0 at Daikin Park on May 31, 2026, holding Houston to three hits across nine innings and delivering a clean sweep of probability against a home team the DiamondIQ model had given a 36% chance to win before first pitch. Milwaukee generated all of its offense in the fourth inning and never needed more, as the Brewers pitching staff methodically extinguished each Houston threat from the first batter to the last.

The decisive blow came in the top of the fourth when Jake Bauers connected on a home run off Tatsuya Imai, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-19.5 percentage points and accounted for both Milwaukee runs. Bauers finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-15.4 and posted a RE24 of plus-0.8. The Astros had an opportunity to generate early momentum of their own, but Christian Walker's groundout in the bottom of the third off Jacob Misiorowski swung probability 7.8 points in Milwaukee's favor, and Joey Ortiz's walk in the top of the third had already nudged the Brewers' outlook forward by 6.4 points on the other side. Taylor Trammell's groundout to end the bottom of the ninth was the game's second-largest play by WPA at plus-14.4, reflecting how cleanly Milwaukee closed the door, and Trammell finished the night at plus-8.3 WPA despite a RE24 of minus-0.7.

The story of the game, however, belonged to the Milwaukee pitching staff. Jacob Misiorowski led all pitchers at plus-31.7 WPA, the dominant figure in the box score by that measure, with Abner Uribe adding plus-13.3 WPA in relief support. Tatsuya Imai absorbed the loss for Houston, finishing at plus-8.4 WPA from the Astros' perspective but surrendering the Bauers home run that proved to be the only scoring in the game. The DiamondIQ model's estimate closed at 0% for Houston, a reflection of how thoroughly Milwaukee controlled the contest from the fourth inning onward.