San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals defeated the San Diego Padres 9-4 at Nationals Park on May 30, 2026, in a game that began as a tightly contested affair before Washington seized control with a six-run seventh inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with pre-game home win probability at 49 percent, reflecting how evenly matched the two sides appeared, but by the final out that figure had reached 100 percent.

The Padres showed early life, as Manny Machado connected on a home run off Foster Griffin in the fourth inning, the second-largest win-probability swing of the game at plus-11.3 percent, and Fernando Tatis Jr. added another solo shot off Griffin in the fifth, generating a plus-11.8 percent swing that briefly gave San Diego meaningful momentum. However, the seventh inning proved decisive and unraveled the Padres completely. Michael King struggled through the frame, surrendering a hit by pitch to Dylan Crews that shifted win probability by plus-13.4 percent and a walk to Jorbit Vivas worth plus-11.6 percent, before Bradgley Rodriguez entered and allowed a fielder's choice from Drew Millas that swung the game another plus-11.5 percent in Washington's favor as the Nationals pushed across six runs to transform a close game into a comfortable lead.

On the individual ledger, Drew Millas led all position players with a plus-18.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Curtis Mead contributed a plus-10.8 percent WPA and the game's best RE24 figure at plus-2.7. Machado finished at plus-9.8 percent WPA despite the loss. On the mound, Clayton Beeter was the top-performing pitcher by WPA at plus-9.2 percent, followed by Brad Lord at plus-8.6 percent, while Wandy Peralta finished at minus-2.0 percent. The final line showed San Diego managed six hits against one error, while Washington collected eight hits without committing an error.